MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 16:04:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Wolfsburg

Providing that Stuttgart have their key offensive players available - particularly Guirassy, who has been irresistible so far this season - then we can envisage them moving to the top of the Bundesliga table by recording another win on Saturday. Wolfsburg represent a solid outfit under Kovac, but they remain inconsistent in terms of results, and the former Bayern Munich boss must work out a way to help his side perform better on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
53.47% (-0.273 -0.27) 21.98% (0.041 0.04) 24.54% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.45% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)37.77% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04)60.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)14.22% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (-0.146 -0.15)41.96% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.199 0.2)28.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.249 0.25)64.1% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 53.48%
    Wolfsburg 24.54%
    Draw 21.98%
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
Wolfsburg
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Stuttgart
1-3
Wolfsburg
Castro (90+2')
Ahamada (63'), Castro (77'), Cisse (86')
Schlager (13'), Weghorst (29'), Gerhardt (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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