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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 10.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stuttgart in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
72.75% ( 0.02) | 16.66% | 10.58% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.5% ( -0.07) | 38.49% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.21% ( -0.07) | 60.78% ( 0.07) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.78% ( -0.01) | 9.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.81% ( -0.03) | 31.18% ( 0.03) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.69% ( -0.09) | 45.3% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.82% ( -0.07) | 81.17% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 72.75% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.66% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
11 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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