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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg

We expect Leipzig to record their first victory of the season on Saturday, with Wolfsburg lacking sharpness in transition to significantly hurt the home side. Tedesco's side have been dominating games without testing opposition goalkeepers enough, but that should change in front of an expectant Red Bull Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
64.85% (0.52800000000001 0.53) 19.4% (-0.131 -0.13) 15.74% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (-0.199 -0.2)38.73% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)61.04% (0.205 0.2)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.76% (0.079999999999998 0.08)11.23% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.2% (0.178 0.18)35.79% (-0.183 -0.18)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41% (-0.618 -0.62)37.59% (0.615 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (-0.612 -0.61)74.37% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.85%
    Wolfsburg 15.74%
    Draw 19.4%
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.159 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.93% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 64.85%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.74%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
89.5%
Draw
8.8%
Wolfsburg
1.8%
57
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
May 16, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Wolfsburg
Kluivert (51'), Sabitzer (78' pen.)
Henrichs (20'), Konate (36'), Sabitzer (45')
Philipp (12', 45+1')
Mbabu (52'), Arnold (60'), Baku (86')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Poulsen (63'), Hee-chan (88')
Kampl (20'), Olmo (21'), Nkunku (25')

Otavio (5'), Lacroix (35')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
RB Leipzig
Weghorst (22'), Steffen (35')
Otavio (48'), Mbabu (50'), Weghorst (59'), Lacroix (81')
Mukiele (5'), Orban (54')
Mukiele (42'), Kampl (71'), Angelino (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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