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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
28.41% ( 0.01) | 24.72% ( 0.01) | 46.86% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% ( -0.01) | 47.12% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( -0.01) | 69.36% ( 0.01) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( 0) | 30.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.44% ( 0) | 66.56% ( 0) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.83% ( -0) | 20.17% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.54% ( -0.01) | 52.46% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.41% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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