MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 04:13:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Mainz logo

Borussia M'bach
0 - 1
Mainz 05


Kone (26')
Itakura (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Caricol (55')
Barreiro (39'), Jae-sung (42'), Kohr (88'), Zentner (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1 Mainz 05

Although Mainz have won both of their away games this season, we expect Gladbach to record another victory on Sunday. Die Fohlen have hugely improved under Farke's management so far and they clearly have the more talented individuals to gain a win; providing they perform on the day, of course. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
53.09% (1.226 1.23) 22.46% (-0.351 -0.35) 24.45% (-0.873 -0.87)
Both teams to score 59.63% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (0.789 0.79)40.12% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (0.809 0.81)62.49% (-0.805 -0.81)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (0.702 0.7)15.17% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.23% (1.305 1.31)43.77% (-1.303 -1.3)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (-0.265 -0.27)29.71% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (-0.325 -0.32)65.77% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 53.09%
    Mainz 05 24.45%
    Draw 22.46%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.175 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.079 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 53.09%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Mainz 05

Borussia Monchengladbach
77.6%
Draw
15.8%
Mainz 05
6.6%
76
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Nov 5, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
2-3
Borussia M'bach
Mateta (23', 36')
Kunde (49'), Jannis Kilian (61'), Niakhate (75'), Latza (77'), Zentner (83')
Stindl (15'), Hofmann (76' pen.), Ginter (83')
Embolo (53'), Neuhaus (62'), Thuram (84')
Jan 25, 2020 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach
3-1
Mainz 05
Plea (24', 76'), Neuhaus (87')
Rose (36'), Embolo (85')
Quaison (11')
Pierre-Gabriel (10'), Brosinski (80'), Baku (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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