MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 18:15:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo

Bayern
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

All but ending the closest Bundesliga title race in 13 years, Bayern are set to sweep aside Leipzig; leaving the pressure piled on Dortmund. At their fluent best against Schalke, the champions may be stepping up in class this week, but such are their attacking riches they can tame the Red Bulls once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
66.88% (-0.304 -0.3) 16.77% (0.124 0.12) 16.34% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 67.5% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.72% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)24.28% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.03% (-0.362 -0.36)43.96% (0.361 0.36)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.13% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)6.87% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.73% (-0.337 -0.34)25.26% (0.335 0.34)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 66.88%
    RB Leipzig 16.34%
    Draw 16.77%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.23% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 5.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.8% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 6.53% (0.075 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.89% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.77%
1-2 @ 4.21% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 2.44% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 16.34%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
71.7%
Draw
17.4%
RB Leipzig
10.9%
92
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Schlager (41'), Laimer (71'), Rose (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
Musiala (35'), Goretzka (52'), Upamecano (66')
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 21
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
1-4
Bayern
Laimer (58')
Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-1
Bayern

Mukiele (26'), Sabitzer (37'), Upamecano (61')
Goretzka (38')
Kimmich (33'), Hernandez (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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