Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern2 - 0Hertha Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Hertha Berlin
We can envisage Bayern coming out with a major point to prove after their recent disappointments in all three competitions that they were fighting to win, as they desperately aim to avoid ending the season trophyless and move back to the top of the table. Hertha's upcoming home fixtures against Stuttgart and Bochum will largely dictate whether they manage to pull themselves out of relegation trouble or not, but we expect them to edge closer to demotion with a heavy defeat on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 6.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
82.72% ( 0.89) | 10.85% ( -0.32) | 6.43% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( -2.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
