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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
15.9% ( 0.05) | 17.3% ( 0.12) | 66.79% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 64.06% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.03% ( -0.5) | 27.96% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.3% ( -0.62) | 48.7% ( 0.61) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.5% ( -0.28) | 30.49% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.29% ( -0.33) | 66.71% ( 0.32) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.16% ( -0.17) | 7.83% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.21% ( -0.42) | 27.78% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 15.9% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 17.3% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 4.97% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 66.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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