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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
Wolfsburg

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Tella (37'), Wirtz (86')
Adli (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gerhardt (7'), Jenz (12')
Jenz (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Wolfsburg

No team in Germany or on the continent appear capable of stopping Leverkusen at the moment, despite a wobble in midweek, and the league leaders should cruise to another victory this weekend. Wolfsburg have been leaking goals with regularity in 2024 so far, and that has contributed to the fact they are still yet to win since returning from the winter break, and they are unlikely to break that duck in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
68.13% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45) 17.84% (0.26 0.26) 14.03% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.7% (-0.463 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.04% (-0.836 -0.84)34.95% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06% (-0.941 -0.94)56.94% (0.943 0.94)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.62% (-0.32199999999999 -0.32)9.37% (0.3239 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.43% (-0.77 -0.77)31.56% (0.771 0.77)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (-0.286 -0.29)37.44% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (-0.281 -0.28)74.22% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 68.13%
    Wolfsburg 14.03%
    Draw 17.84%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.62% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 68.13%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.84%
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.03%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg

Bayer Leverkusen
93.6%
Draw
4.3%
Wolfsburg
2.1%
94
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Lacroix (41')
Arnold (36'), Baku (45'), Maehle (65')
Frimpong (13'), Grimaldo (62')
Palacios (37'), Xhaka (55'), Adli (56'), Hofmann (74'), Tapsoba (86')
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Wolfsburg
Diaby (17'), Frimpong (76')
Andrich (28' og.), Arnold (54' pen.)
Mar 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (83'), Vranckx (83')
Paulinho (86', 90+2')
Adli (9'), Demirbay (83'), Hincapie (83')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Wolfsburg

Tah (28'), Alario (30'), Wirtz (54')
Nmecha (48'), Arnold (51')
Steffen (28'), Brooks (28')
Lacroix (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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