Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen2 - 2Wolfsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 5-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Braunschweig 1-2 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Wolfsburg
Amazingly, the side at home in this fixture have failed to win in the last 12 head-to-head's between the sides, and given Leverkusen's recent form, that looks unlikely to change. Also, eight of Leverkusen's 10 Bundesliga matches this season have seen three goals or more, but many have gone in at the wrong end for Bayer, so if Wolfsburg can capitalise on that, they should leave with something. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
61.91% ( -2.96) | 20.11% ( 0.8) | 17.97% ( 2.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( 1.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
