MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 13:06:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 12, 2024 at 8am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Wellington
1 - 0
Victory

Surman (90+5' og.)
Payne (31'), Ball (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Monge (34'), Da Silva (90+1')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Wellington
Saturday, April 6 at 7.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 6 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
27.62% (-0.41 -0.41) 22.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 49.4% (0.42 0.42)
Both teams to score 60.95% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.23% (-0.261 -0.26)39.77% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.87% (-0.273 -0.27)62.13% (0.274 0.27)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-0.419 -0.42)27.16% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-0.549 -0.55)62.56% (0.551 0.55)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.33% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08% (0.1 0.1)45.92% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 27.62%
    Melbourne Victory 49.4%
    Draw 22.98%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.115 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.6% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.99% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 49.4%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
1-1
Victory
Rufer (90+5' pen.)
Payne (45+8')
Chapman (79')
Traore (36')
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 4
Victory
1-1
Wellington
Teague (14')
Geria (83')
Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Gameweek 22
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (25')
Fornaroli (58'), Da Silva (76')
Feb 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Victory
3-1
Wellington
Fornaroli (32'), Brimmer (54'), Juric (90+1')
Zawada (13')
Apr 29, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
3-1
Wellington
D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Sandoval (26' pen.)
Wootton (13'), Surman (71'), Pennington (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322


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