MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 02:14:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2024 at 9.15am UK
Coopers Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United
1 - 2
Victory

Irankunda (51')
Ansell (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fornaroli (33', 57' pen.)
Miranda (87'), Izzo (90+7')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 3-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, March 3 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-2 Victory
Sunday, March 3 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
34.78% (0.417 0.42) 22.82% (0.0010000000000012 0) 42.39% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 65.56% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63% (0.104 0.1)35.37% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.6% (0.115 0.12)57.4% (-0.114 -0.11)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.261 0.26)20.73% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (0.408 0.41)53.35% (-0.408 -0.41)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71% (-0.128 -0.13)17.29% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.36% (-0.221 -0.22)47.63% (0.222 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 34.78%
    Melbourne Victory 42.39%
    Draw 22.82%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.78%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.39%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 10
Victory
2-0
Adelaide United
Machach (73'), Fornaroli (90')
Fornaroli (88')

Popovic (62'), Popovic (62'), Lopez (68'), Sanchez (71')
Nov 4, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 3
Victory
1-1
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (28')
Miranda (58'), Marchan (90+1'), Chapman (90+7')
Miranda (63')
Ibusuki (59')
Madanha (22'), Irankunda (79'), Veart (81')
Irankunda (90+6')
Feb 26, 2023 4am
Jan 14, 2023 8.45am
Nov 11, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 6
Adelaide United
3-0
Victory
Ibusuki (37'), Goodwin (86' pen.), Warland (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!