MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 21:50:49| >> :60:47:47:
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
Excelsior

Heracles
1 - 3
SBV Excelsior

Bakis (28')
Hoogma (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (47'), Wieffer (63'), Agrafiotis (83')
Horemans (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between Heracles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

Last Six:
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

SBV Excelsior

Last Six:
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We said: Heracles 2-0 SBV Excelsior

 The onus is firmly on the home side to take control of proceedings as they set out to make up a three-goal deficit. While we expect them to come out on top in this one, we can see them just falling short on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
46.54% (-0.49 -0.49) 23.38% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 30.08% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 61.34% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)17.5% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (-0.328 -0.33)48% (0.329 0.33)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.282 0.28)25.65% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.384 0.38)60.54% (-0.383 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 46.54%
    SBV Excelsior 30.08%
    Draw 23.38%
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.072 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Heracles vs SBV Excelsior

Heracles
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
SBV Excelsior
33.3%
12
Head to Head
May 18, 2022 5.45pm
SBV Excelsior
3-0
Heracles
Azarkan (21'), Dallinga (74'), Driouech (85')

Schoofs (29')
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Heracles
4-5
SBV Excelsior
Dalmau (23', 51', 59'), Duarte (62')
Rossmann (43')
Omarsson (4', 45', 91'), Mattheij (71'), Eckert (89')
Dec 22, 2018 7.45pm
SBV Excelsior
0-3
Heracles

Mattheij (85')
Peterson (35'), Kuwas (43'), Osman (66')
Peterson (61')
Apr 18, 2018 6.45pm
SBV Excelsior
2-2
Heracles
Messaoud (7'), Van Duinen (51' pen.)
Messaoud (58'), de Wijs (93')
Monteiro (92', 94')
Droste (7')
van Ooijen (49')
Aug 26, 2017 7.45pm
Heracles
2-2
SBV Excelsior
Kuwas (15'), Gladon (52')
Propper (10')
Bruins (16'), Caenepeel (63')
Bruins (43'), Koolwijk (90')
Hadouir (90')
rhs 2.0
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