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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
3 - 4
St Pauli

Machino (53'), Mees (65'), Bernhardsson (82')
Schulz (45')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Afolayan (11', 36'), Hartel (34'), Metcalfe (57')
Saliakas (90+4'), Hurzeler (90+5')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: SC Paderborn 0-4 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, February 17 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

St Pauli

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-0 Braunschweig
Sunday, February 18 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli
30.12% (0.004999999999999 0) 22.2% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 47.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 65.76% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (0.028000000000006 0.03)34.25% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.85% (0.031999999999996 0.03)56.15% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.02000000000001 0.02)22.75% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.024999999999999 0.02)56.43% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)43.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 30.12%
    St Pauli 47.68%
    Draw 22.2%
Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 7.07%
1-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.12%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 4.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 47.68%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli

Holstein Kiel
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
St Pauli
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
St Pauli
5-1
Holstein Kiel
Metcalfe (4'), Smith (7'), Afolayan (38'), Ritzka (69'), Hartel (90+3')
Hurzeler (0'), Smith (27'), Burchert (45+2'), Saad (49')
Holtby (50')
Porath (16'), Holtby (47'), Rothe (73')
May 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Holstein Kiel
3-4
St Pauli
Skrzybski (28' pen.), Komenda (78'), Reese (90+3')
Becker (45+2'), Rapp (46'), Bartels (65'), Pichler (90+5'), Wahl (90+9')
Afolayan (39'), Wahl (53' og.), Daschner (61'), Paqarada (74')
Hurzeler (0'), Afolayan (77')
Afolayan (87')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
St Pauli
0-0
Holstein Kiel
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Holstein Kiel
3-0
St Pauli
Bartels (8'), Porath (29'), Pichler (45+1')
Thesker (56'), Arp (90')

Ziereis (56'), Paqarada (80'), Dittgen (86'), Ole Becker (90+1')
Jul 25, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
St Pauli
3-0
Holstein Kiel
Paqarada (11'), Kyereh (62'), Burgstaller (90+1')

Muhling (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Pauli33199560352566
2Holstein Kiel33205863382565
3Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf33179769383160
4Hamburger SV331671060431755
5Karlsruher SCKarlsruher331410965481752
6Hannover331313758421652
7SC PaderbornSC Paderborn33147125253-149
8Hertha Berlin331391168571148
9Greuther Furth33138124849-147
10Schalke 04Schalke33127145358-543
11Elversberg33127144960-1143
12Nuremberg33117154260-1840
13Magdeburg33911134451-738
14Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig33115173748-1138
15KaiserslauternKaiserslautern33106175464-1036
16Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden3388173548-1332
17Hansa RostockHansa Rostock3394202955-2631
18VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck33510182968-3925
> 2.Bundesliga Full Table


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