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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena

Dusseldorf
1 - 2
St Pauli

Tzolis (83')
Tzolis (30'), de Wijs (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hartel (16' pen., 26')
Vasilj (32'), Kemlein (51')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSt Pauli
30.09% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 22.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 47.72% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.75% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (0.078999999999994 0.08)34.25% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.85% (0.091000000000001 0.09)56.15% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.012 -0.01)22.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)56.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (0.070000000000007 0.07)14.87% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (0.131 0.13)43.21% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 30.09%
    St Pauli 47.72%
    Draw 22.19%
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.72%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Metcalfe (52'), Hurzeler (53'), Sinani (90+5')
Mets (83')
Gavory (88')
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Mets (39')
Hoffmann (53'), Ginczek (60'), Zimmermann (76'), Klarer (81')
Nov 5, 2022 12pm
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
St Pauli
2-0
Dusseldorf
Hartel (65'), Dzwigala (83')
Buchtmann (20'), Irvine (85')

Piotrowski (50'), Koutris (60')
Dec 11, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Dusseldorf
1-1
St Pauli
Hennings (68')
Nedelcu (23'), Piotrowski (71')
Hartel (47')
Smith (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Pauli33199560352566
2Holstein Kiel33205863382565
3Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf33179769383160
4Hamburger SV331671060431755
5Karlsruher SCKarlsruher331410965481752
6Hannover331313758421652
7SC PaderbornSC Paderborn33147125253-149
8Hertha Berlin331391168571148
9Greuther Furth33138124849-147
10Schalke 04Schalke33127145358-543
11Elversberg33127144960-1143
12Nuremberg33117154260-1840
13Magdeburg33911134451-738
14Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig33115173748-1138
15KaiserslauternKaiserslautern33106175464-1036
16Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden3388173548-1332
17Hansa RostockHansa Rostock3394202955-2631
18VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck33510182968-3925


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