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Iraq national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
South Korea national football team

Iraq
0 - 3
South Korea


Adnan (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jae-sung (33'), Heung-min (74' pen.), Woo-yeong (80')
Chul (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
IraqDrawSouth Korea
31.43%29.18%39.39%
Both teams to score 43.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.17%62.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.66%82.34%
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6%36.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82%73.18%
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91%31.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59%67.4%
Score Analysis
    Iraq 31.43%
    South Korea 39.38%
    Draw 29.17%
IraqDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 31.43%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 13.21%
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 7.72%
1-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 39.38%

How you voted: Iraq vs South Korea

Iraq
11.5%
Draw
13.5%
South Korea
75.0%
52
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2021 12pm
Third Round
South Korea
0-0
Iraq
Son (39')
Abdul Zahra (78'), Al-Ammari (81'), Ibrahim Khalaf (90')
Jul 7, 2013 4pm
Quarter-finals
Iraq
3-3
South Korea
Iraq win 5-4 on penalties
rhs 2.0
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