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India national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium
Afghanistan national football team

India
1 - 2
Afghanistan

Chhetri (38' pen.)
Fernandes (25'), Bose (39'), Bheke (43'), Singh Sandhu (87'), Pratap Singh (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Akbari (70'), Mukhammad (88' pen.)
Islam Amiri (36'), Hanifi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between India and Afghanistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Afghanistan 0-0 India
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Afghanistan 0-0 India
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: India 2-0 Afghanistan

Given the current tension in the Afghanistan camp, India will be disappointed not to have come away with maximum points last time out, but Tuesday's hosts are expected to put on an improved showing here. We fancy them to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a India win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a India win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
IndiaDrawAfghanistan
55.83% (-0.261 -0.26) 24.4% (0.104 0.1) 19.77% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 47.2% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.43% (-0.214 -0.21)53.57% (0.215 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.93% (-0.181 -0.18)75.07% (0.181 0.18)
India Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (-0.18199999999999 -0.18)19.08% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (-0.301 -0.3)50.69% (0.299 0.3)
Afghanistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.33% (0.049000000000007 0.05)41.67% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.85% (0.041999999999998 0.04)78.15% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    India 55.82%
    Afghanistan 19.77%
    Draw 24.4%
IndiaDrawAfghanistan
1-0 @ 13.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 55.82%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.77%

How you voted: India vs Afghanistan

India
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Afghanistan
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 7pm
Second Round
Afghanistan
0-0
India
Nazary (75')
Pratap Singh (56'), Tangri (87'), Poojari (90+3')
Jun 15, 2021 3pm
Second Round
India
1-1
Afghanistan
Azizi (75' og.)
Stimac (16'), Chinglensana Singh (34')
Zamani (81')
Islam Haroon Fakhruddin Amiri (66'), Haidary (83'), Zamani (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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