Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
