MX23RW : Friday, May 3 03:36:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Apr 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo logo

Nacional
1 - 0
Cerro Largo

Baez (32')
Pereyra (20'), Sosa (37'), Baez (39'), Acosta (53'), Zabala (79'), Recoba (80'), Velazquez (85'), Zabala (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (40'), Castro (65'), Formento (75')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
60.3% (-0.134 -0.13) 24.27% (0.073 0.07) 15.42% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 40.12% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15% (-0.161 -0.16)58.85% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.125 -0.13)79.35% (0.12 0.12)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.113 -0.11)19.4% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (-0.183 -0.18)51.21% (0.179 0.18)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.77% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)50.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.18% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)84.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 60.29%
    Cerro Largo 15.42%
    Draw 24.27%
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 15.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 60.29%
1-1 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.74% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 15.42%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
2-2
Nacional
Gianoli (18'), Silveira (90')
Viera (14'), Brasil (29'), Santilli (76'), Ferrares (90+6'), Galletto (90+7')
Ramirez (27'), Zabala (86')
Galeano (38'), Fagundez (79')
Fagundez (90+5')
Jul 22, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Cerro Largo
Fagundez (34')
Ramirez (14'), Morales (62'), Lozano (82')

Gianoli (14'), Galletto (45+8'), Viera (61'), Brasil (90')
Feb 10, 2023 11pm
Sep 25, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-1
Cerro Largo
Gigliotti (54' pen.)
Beltran (69')
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro Largo
0-0
Nacional
Alvarez (41'), Max (51'), Morales (75'), Bentaberry (81')
Marichal (70'), Rodriguez (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12pm
Fritz
Rublev
7pm
Auger-Aliassime
Lehecka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol109102241828
2ProgresoProgreso107302314924
3NacionalNacional106402091122
4Defensor SportingDefensor104421913616
5Racing de MontevideoRacing104331512315
6Cerro Largo10433108215
7Boston RiverBoston River104331212015
8River PlateRiver Plate103341314-112
9DanubioDanubio103341113-212
10LiverpoolLiverpool102531515011
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers102351016-69
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10226915-68
13CerroCerro101541118-78
14Rampla JuniorsRampla10226922-138
15Miramar Misiones101451420-67
16FenixFenix10046513-84


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