MX23RW : Monday, May 6 15:16:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Oct 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Parque Maracaná

Cerrito
1 - 2
Nacional

Villoldo (88')
Martinez (34'), Velazquez (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fagundez (18'), Carballo (48')
Ginella (62'), Candido (86')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 Cerrito
Friday, October 14 at 1.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Albion 0-1 Nacional
Thursday, October 13 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 75.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 7.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.7%) and 0-3 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
CerritoDrawNacional
7.68% (1.328 1.33) 16.46% (1.433 1.43) 75.86% (-2.758 -2.76)
Both teams to score 38.07% (2.127 2.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87% (-1.275 -1.28)47.13% (1.279 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-1.199 -1.2)69.37% (1.202 1.2)
Cerrito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.62% (2.843 2.84)57.38% (-2.838 -2.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.75% (1.5091 1.51)89.26% (-1.506 -1.51)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.32% (-1.034 -1.03)10.68% (1.036 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.43% (-2.371 -2.37)34.57% (2.374 2.37)
Score Analysis
    Cerrito 7.68%
    Nacional 75.85%
    Draw 16.46%
CerritoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 3.4% (0.459 0.46)
2-1 @ 2.12% (0.368 0.37)
2-0 @ 0.95% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 7.68%
1-1 @ 7.61% (0.726 0.73)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.322 0.32)
2-2 @ 2.37% (0.322 0.32)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.46%
0-2 @ 15.33% (-0.55 -0.55)
0-1 @ 13.7% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 11.43% (-0.95 -0.95)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.46 0.46)
0-4 @ 6.39% (-0.85 -0.85)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 3.55% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-5 @ 2.86% (-0.528 -0.53)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.171 0.17)
1-5 @ 1.59% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-6 @ 1.07% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 75.85%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 11.30pm
Nacional
5-0
Cerrito
Gigliotti (8', 30'), Fagundez (34'), Carballo (44'), Almeida (90+5')
Fagundez (24'), Trasante (63'), Trezza (80'), Ocampo (88')

Falconis (28'), Velazquez (65'), Vega (70'), Soto (90+3')
May 29, 2022 12am
Nacional
3-0
Cerrito
Gigliotti (45+1'), Ramirez (87', 90')
Marichal (11')

Villoldo (70')
Nov 19, 2021 12.45am
Nacional
1-0
Cerrito
Fernandez (90+3')
Trasante (27'), Candido (47'), Fernandez (90+5')

Aviles (9'), Rodriguez (35')
Perujo (34'), Ferreira (90+5')
Aug 8, 2021 10pm
Cerrito
2-0
Nacional
Silvera (13' pen., 56')
Johan Perea Valencia (40')

Laborda (11'), D'Alessandro (12'), Fernandez (85'), Candido (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol119202461829
2NacionalNacional1174024111325
3ProgresoProgreso117312316724
4Defensor SportingDefensor115422113819
5Cerro Largo115331310318
6Boston RiverBoston River115331513218
7Racing de MontevideoRacing114341716115
8DanubioDanubio113441214-213
9LiverpoolLiverpool112631717012
10River PlateRiver Plate113351517-212
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers113351216-412
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado113261215-311
13Rampla JuniorsRampla112361023-139
14CerroCerro111551121-108
15Miramar Misiones111461523-87
16FenixFenix11047515-104


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