MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 07:33:13| >> :600:9566481:9566481:
Taca da Liga | Second Round
Jul 30, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Nacional

Uniao de Leiria
3 - 3
Nacional

Goncalves da Silva (11'), Rochez (37' pen.), Bura (45')
Baixinho (38')
FT
(aet)
Henrique Silva Goncalves (24'), Daniel (69'), Gustavo (90+2')
Aurelio (35'), Daniel (64'), Gustavo (90+3')
Nacional win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between Uniao de Leiria and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uniao de Leiria

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Uniao de Leiria (4-5 pen.)
Monday, July 24 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nacional

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Penafiel (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uniao de Leiria win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uniao de Leiria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%).

Result
Uniao de LeiriaDrawNacional
39.62% (-0.305 -0.31) 24.73% (0.109 0.11) 35.65% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 58.62% (-0.365 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.484 -0.48)44.49% (0.484 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)66.86% (0.47199999999999 0.47)
Uniao de Leiria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)22.39% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.547 -0.55)55.89% (0.547 0.55)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)24.47% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-0.165 -0.16)58.91% (0.165 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Uniao de Leiria 39.62%
    Nacional 35.65%
    Draw 24.73%
Uniao de LeiriaDrawNacional
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.65%

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