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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Bahçelievler İl Özel İdare Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Istanbulspor
2 - 1
Alanyaspor

Ethemi (67'), Kaan Gultekin (77')
Rroca (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cavaleiro (71')
(86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Konyaspor 0-1 Istanbulspor
Thursday, February 2 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 0-3 Sivasspor
Tuesday, January 31 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbulspor 1-1 Alanyaspor

Despite the difference in league positions, the lower team is in the better form and has home advantage. With that in mind, we feel that Istanbulspor will do enough to earn a share of the spoils, a result which would not necessarily benefit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawAlanyaspor
37.27% (0.086999999999996 0.09) 24.56% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 38.17% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.38% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)43.57% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.04% (0.027000000000001 0.03)65.96% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.058999999999997 0.06)23.17% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95% (0.087000000000003 0.09)57.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.71% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)56.37% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 37.27%
    Alanyaspor 38.17%
    Draw 24.55%
IstanbulsporDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.17%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Alanyaspor
0-1
Istanbulspor

Fer (47'), Candeias (67'), Bayir (79')
Ethemi (48')
Yilmaz (71'), Ethemi (76'), Abazaj (86')
Abazaj (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray35313186226496
2Fenerbahce35286189315890
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor351841361481358
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul351671250401055
5BesiktasBesiktas35166134842654
6AlanyasporAlanyaspor351213105047349
7KasimpasaKasimpasa35147145763-649
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor35147144754-749
9SivassporSivasspor351212114251-948
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor351112124044-445
11Adana Demirspor351014115047344
12Samsunspor35119154045-542
13KayserisporKayserispor351111134150-941
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu35815124346-339
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk35910164345-237
16KonyasporKonyaspor35813143448-1437
17GaziantepGaziantep3598184055-1535
18Hatayspor35713153949-1034
19Pendikspor3589184071-3133
RIstanbulspor3547242668-4216


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