Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Cremonese |
40.9% ( 0.88) | 27.19% ( -0.09) | 31.91% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.29% ( 0.15) | 55.71% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.14% ( 0.12) | 76.85% ( -0.12) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( 0.55) | 26.77% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( 0.72) | 62.05% ( -0.72) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% ( -0.47) | 32.29% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% ( -0.54) | 68.79% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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