The cruel nature of their last-gasp defeat in Milan may cause a hangover for Juventus this weekend, but once they get up and running, the home side should take charge of affairs against their brittle Bianconeri counterparts.
Udinese have not only had a serious virus outbreak to contend with, but also are short of some regular starters in defence, so the odds are stacked against them even escaping with a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 3-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match.
