Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
53.81% ( 0.05) | 25.59% ( -0.02) | 20.59% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.99% ( 0.02) | 57% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.1% ( 0.02) | 77.9% ( -0.02) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% ( 0.03) | 21.24% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.85% ( 0.04) | 54.15% ( -0.05) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.24% ( -0.02) | 42.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.91% ( -0.02) | 79.09% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 14.07% 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |