Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Torino |
32.55% | 25.78% | 41.67% |
Both teams to score 54.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.15% | 49.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.16% | 71.84% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% | 28.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% | 64.76% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.28% | 23.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.15% | 57.84% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.55% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |