Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 9.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Salernitana |
72.09% ( 0.07) | 18.03% ( -0.03) | 9.87% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 42.2% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.06% ( 0.02) | 46.94% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.81% ( 0.02) | 69.19% ( -0.02) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.36% ( 0.03) | 11.64% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.34% ( 0.05) | 36.66% ( -0.06) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.75% ( -0.06) | 52.25% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.83% ( -0.04) | 86.16% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 13.07% 3-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 72.08% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.03% | 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 9.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |