Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
36.91% ( -1.13) | 25.69% ( 0.21) | 37.4% ( 0.92) |
Both teams to score 55.31% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.2% ( -0.93) | 48.8% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% ( -0.85) | 70.9% ( 0.85) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% ( -1.05) | 25.77% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% ( -1.44) | 60.71% ( 1.45) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% ( 0.08) | 25.49% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.67% ( 0.11) | 60.33% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |