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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium

Al Shabab
3 - 4
Al-Hilal

Al-Juwayr (3'), Al-Sibyani (64'), Saiss (78')
Santos (36')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Mitrovic (20' pen., 27'), Milinkovic-Savic (42'), Al-Dawsari (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Hazem 0-3 Al Shabab
Thursday, March 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Damac
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Hilal

Al Shabab have fallen a long way this season and need string together a few positive results to pull away from the relegation scrap. Unfortunately for the hosts, though, they are facing an opponent that have taken on all-comers this season and have looked almost unbeaten at times. Al-Hilal are massive favourites heading into this match and we feel they will claim yet another straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 2-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
10.75% (-0.022 -0.02) 15.32% (0.084 0.08) 73.92% (-0.065999999999988 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.86% (-0.512 -0.51)31.14% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.44% (-0.607 -0.61)52.55% (0.605 0.61)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)39.89% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (-0.375 -0.38)76.56% (0.371 0.37)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.81% (-0.133 -0.13)7.19% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.89% (-0.345 -0.34)26.11% (0.341 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 10.75%
    Al-Hilal 73.92%
    Draw 15.32%
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 2.64% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.75%
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.87% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.32%
0-2 @ 9.94% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.72% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 8.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.16 0.16)
0-4 @ 5.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 3.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 73.92%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal

Al Shabab
7.7%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Hilal
92.3%
13
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Shabab
Koulibaly (68'), Mitrovic (76')
Albulayhi (45+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal28262086186880
2Al-Nassr29232484354971
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli28157654302452
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun29149648311751
5Al Ittihad29155955401550
6Al Ettifaq29101183530541
7Al Fateh29117114844440
8Damac29108114035538
9Al ShababAl Shabab29108113936338
10Al Fayha29108113846-838
11Al Khaleej2998123240-835
12Al WahdaAl Wahda2995154149-832
13Al RaedAl Raed2987143845-731
14Al Riyadh2977152651-2528
15Al Okhdood2983182747-2027
16Al Tai2975172957-2826
17Abha2974183178-4725
18Al Hazem29310162968-3919


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