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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2022 at 11am UK
Stadion Gazovik
Krasnodar

Orenburg
5 - 1
Krasnodar

Sychevoy (2', 29', 59'), Vera (23'), Marin (51')
Ayupov (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ionov (43')
Pantaleao (9'), Volkov (15'), Manelov (45+5'), Akhmetov (47'), Petrov (71'), Sorokin (77')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Khimki 2-0 Orenburg
Friday, November 4 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 3-3 Krasnodar
Saturday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar
45.07% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83) 24.09% (0.226 0.23) 30.83% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 59.24% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57% (-0.741 -0.74)42.99% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6% (-0.737 -0.74)65.39% (0.73699999999999 0.74)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)19.26% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-1.066 -1.07)50.99% (1.065 1.07)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.022999999999996 0.02)26.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (0.031000000000006 0.03)61.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 45.07%
    FC Krasnodar 30.83%
    Draw 24.09%
OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.103 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.224 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 6pm
Krasnodar
2-0
Orenburg
Ionov (28'), Cordoba (66')
Krivtsov (61'), Banjac (68')

Gojkovic (10'), Mansilla (40'), Ayupov (55')
Mansilla (56')
Jun 27, 2020 12pm
Oct 27, 2019 4pm
Krasnodar
1-1
Orenburg
Fernandes (43')
Berg (80')
Despotovic (32')
Despotovic (19')
Mar 11, 2019 4.30pm
Krasnodar
2-2
Orenburg
Ari (63'), Skopintsev (73')
Pereyra (23'), Suleymanov (86')
Sutormin (41'), Oyewole (89')
Kozlov (72')
Aug 26, 2018 12pm
Orenburg
1-1
Krasnodar
Kozlov (22')
Suleymanov (88')
Spajic (44'), Kabore (57'), Stotsky (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Moscow28158549371253
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit28156745252051
3FC KrasnodarKrasnodar28148641271450
4Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv281211547371047
5Spartak Moscow2813783831746
6CSKA MoscowCSKA281012648381042
7Rubin Kazan2811892934-541
8Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov28117104439540
9RostovRostov28117104043-340
10Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny28105133238-635
11OrenburgOrenburg2878133138-729
12Fakel28611112029-929
13Ural YekaterinburgUral2878132741-1429
14Nizhny Novgorod2885152644-1829
15Baltika2875163137-626
16Sochi2858153444-1023


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