Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2022 at 11am UK
Stadion Gazovik
Orenburg5 - 1Krasnodar
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and FC Krasnodar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Khimki 2-0 Orenburg
Friday, November 4 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Friday, November 4 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Fakel 3-3 Krasnodar
Saturday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Orenburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
45.07% ( -0.83) | 24.09% ( 0.23) | 30.83% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 59.24% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57% ( -0.74) | 42.99% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.6% ( -0.74) | 65.39% ( 0.74) |
Orenburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.73% ( -0.64) | 19.26% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49% ( -1.07) | 50.99% ( 1.07) |
FC Krasnodar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% ( 0.02) | 26.63% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.14% ( 0.03) | 61.86% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Orenburg 45.07%
FC Krasnodar 30.83%
Draw 24.09%
Orenburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.22% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.83% |
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 6pm
Krasnodar
2-0
Orenburg
Gojkovic (10'), Mansilla (40'), Ayupov (55')
Mansilla (56')
Jun 27, 2020 12pm
Oct 27, 2019 4pm
Mar 11, 2019 4.30pm
Krasnodar
2-2
Orenburg
Sutormin (41'), Oyewole (89')
Kozlov (72')
Kozlov (72')
Aug 26, 2018 12pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-16 14:50:25
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 |
2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 51 |
3 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 47 |
5 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 46 |
6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 42 |
7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 41 |
8 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 40 |
9 | RostovRostov | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 40 |
10 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 35 |
11 | OrenburgOrenburg | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 29 |
12 | Fakel | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 29 |
13 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 29 |
14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 29 |
15 | Baltika | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 26 |
16 | Sochi | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 23 |
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