Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
46.51% ( -0.26) | 25.45% ( 0.12) | 28.03% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% ( -0.4) | 50.44% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% ( -0.35) | 72.37% ( 0.35) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% ( -0.28) | 21.68% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.17% ( -0.43) | 54.83% ( 0.43) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.62% ( -0.1) | 32.38% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.11% ( -0.11) | 68.89% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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