Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Braga |
62.26% | 20.43% ( -0) | 17.31% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.44% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.06% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.01) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% ( 0) | 12.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.53% ( 0) | 38.46% ( -0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( 0.01) | 36.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( 0.01) | 73.6% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Braga |
2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.62% Total : 62.26% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.97% 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 4.78% 0-1 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |