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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Maritimo

Braga
5 - 0
Maritimo

Oliveira (9'), Medeiros (42'), Banza (57'), Ruiz (65'), Gomes (88')
Medeiros (20'), Silva (25'), Lainez (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Beltrame (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Braga
Friday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Chaves
Monday, August 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Maritimo

Buoyed by an emphatic victory over Famalicao, Braga will head into Sunday with renewed confidence as they look to put together an early run of form. Maritimo have stumbled into the new campaign and we expect the home side to extend their dominance in this fixture by coming away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawMaritimo
61.02% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 22.18% (-0.026 -0.03) 16.8% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97% (0.0049999999999955 0)49.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (0.004999999999999 0)71.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.033999999999992 0.03)15.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.059999999999995 0.06)44.58% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)42.5% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)78.87% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Braga 61.01%
    Maritimo 16.8%
    Draw 22.18%
BragaDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 12.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21%
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 61.01%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.8%

How you voted: Braga vs Maritimo

Braga
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Maritimo
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 6pm
Aug 7, 2021 8.30pm
Maritimo
0-2
Braga

Junior (19'), Costa (59'), Saenz (82')
Silva (61'), Horta (69')
Josue de Souza Silva (36'), Martins (58'), Fransergio (81')
Apr 29, 2021 8.30pm
Maritimo
1-0
Braga
Joel (76')
Andrade (24'), China (42'), Winck (71'), Guitane (78'), Correa (90+6')

Elmusrati (63'), Horta (90+4')
Jan 7, 2021 9pm
Braga
2-1
Maritimo
Medeiros (34'), Horta (67')
Horta (29'), Fransergio (52'), Elmusrati (70')
Milson (77')
Rene (16'), Morais (50'), Junior (79'), Jean (88')
Mar 1, 2020 5.30pm
Maritimo
1-2
Braga
Correa (65')
Ferreira (20'), Bambock (40'), Bebeto (54'), Costa (65')
Trincao (5'), Paulinho (90')
Esgaio (45'), Fransergio (51'), Paulinho (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
11Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
12SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
13BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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