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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Porto

Estoril
1 - 1
Porto

Gouveia (41')
Carvalho (23'), Ndiaye (45+1'), Martins (56'), Geraldes (57'), Alvaro (90+11'), Figueira (90+11'), Vital (90+13')
Ndiaye (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
Franco (5'), Cardoso (59'), Grujic (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

Last Six:
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Estoril
Monday, September 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Porto 0-4 Brugge
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Porto

 While Estoril Praia will be looking to make it two wins from two in the league for the first time since September 2021, they have struggled to grind out results against Porto, who are unbeaten in their last 10 encounters. We predict that the league champions will extend their dominance over the hosts by claiming a resounding victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 0-3 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
9.98% (-0.462 -0.46) 17.55% (0.141 0.14) 72.47% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 44.17% (-2.213 -2.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (-2.006 -2.01)44.5% (2.003 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (-1.971 -1.97)66.87% (1.967 1.97)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.55% (-2.216 -2.22)50.45% (2.214 2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.03% (-1.565 -1.57)84.97% (1.563 1.56)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14% (-0.461 -0.46)10.86% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02% (-1.027 -1.03)34.98% (1.026 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 9.98%
    Porto 72.46%
    Draw 17.55%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.75% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 2.85% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 9.98%
1-1 @ 8.32% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.461 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 17.55%
0-2 @ 13.5% (0.65 0.65)
0-1 @ 12.16% (0.81 0.81)
0-3 @ 9.99% (0.298 0.3)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-4 @ 5.55% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.79% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-5 @ 2.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.237 -0.24)
1-5 @ 1.68% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-6 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 72.46%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
2.2%
Draw
11.1%
Porto
86.7%
45
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 6pm
Porto
2-0
Estoril
Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')
Jan 8, 2022 6pm
Estoril
2-3
Porto
Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')
Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')
Feb 21, 2018 6pm
Estoril
1-3
Porto
Eduardo (16')
Ribeiro (42'), Allano (57'), Andrade (70')
Telles (52'), Tiquinho (58', 66')
Reyes (15'), Brahimi (71'), Hernani (90')
Aug 9, 2017 7pm
Porto
4-0
Estoril
Marega (35', 62'), Brahimi (54'), Marcano (71')
Pereira (77')

Allano (51')
Jan 28, 2017 6.15pm
Estoril
1-2
Porto
Dankler (93')
Amado (40'), Diakhite (47'), Claro (51'), Mano (55'), Tocantins (56'), Moreira (82'), Dankler (94')
Silva (82' pen.), Corona (91')
Herrera (52'), Andre (76'), Pedro (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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