Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
37.25% | 28.8% | 33.95% |
Both teams to score 45.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.78% | 61.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.85% | 81.15% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.42% | 31.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.02% | 67.98% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% | 33.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.61% | 70.39% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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