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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estrela Amadora

Moreirense
2 - 2
Estrela Amadora

Castro (26'), Brigido (43' og.)
Mingotti (70'), Franco (79'), de Brito Gonzaga (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Luiz (54'), Kikas (83')
Mansur (41'), Vieira (42'), Gaspar (44')
Mansur (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, March 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 2-0 Estrela Amadora

Moreirense aim to bounce back at home after a dip in form. They boast a strong home record and an unbeaten run against Estrela Amadora who have struggled away from home. Expect a Moreirense win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawEstrela Amadora
56.33% (0.055 0.05) 24% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 19.67% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.19% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)52.16% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.12% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)73.88% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (0.010999999999996 0.01)18.36% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (0.019000000000005 0.02)49.48% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.03% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)40.97% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)77.53% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 56.33%
    Estrela Amadora 19.67%
    Draw 23.99%
MoreirenseDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 56.33%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora

Moreirense
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Estrela Amadora
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Moreirense

Cordeiro (40'), Reis (56'), Gaspar (90+6')
Vieira (12')
Luis (90')
Madson (11'), Luis (51'), Alan (54'), de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Marcelo (76'), Ofori (81')
Wallisson (90+2')
Nov 27, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Moreirense
4-2
Estrela Amadora
Franco (32' pen.), Pacheco (45'), Alan (69'), Kodisang (83')
Salomao (26'), N'do (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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