Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
49.79% ( 1.8) | 24.99% ( -0.75) | 25.23% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 52.1% ( 1.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.54% ( 2.22) | 50.46% ( -2.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.61% ( 1.93) | 72.39% ( -1.93) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.72% ( 1.68) | 20.28% ( -1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.36% ( 2.61) | 52.64% ( -2.6) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.35% ( 0.32) | 34.64% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% ( 0.34) | 71.37% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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