Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
46.51% ( 0.39) | 25.55% ( 0.15) | 27.94% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.11% ( -0.9) | 50.89% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.23% ( -0.8) | 72.77% ( 0.8) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% ( -0.2) | 21.87% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.88% ( -0.3) | 55.12% ( 0.31) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.31% ( -0.88) | 32.69% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.76% ( -0.99) | 69.24% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |