Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.07%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
13.93% | 21.79% | 64.28% |
Both teams to score 43.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.46% | 52.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.8% | 74.2% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.41% | 48.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.34% | 83.66% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.29% | 15.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.21% | 44.79% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 5.51% 2-1 @ 3.68% 2-0 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 13.93% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.78% | 0-1 @ 14.12% 0-2 @ 13.07% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 8.07% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-4 @ 3.73% 1-4 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-5 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.87% Total : 64.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |