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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Braga

Famalicao
1 - 2
Braga

Cadiz (62' pen.)
Otavio (27'), Chiquinho (64'), Cadiz (76'), Soares (90+13')
Assuncao (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Borja (73'), Djalo (90+11')
Carvalho (21'), Pizzi (26'), Moutinho (89'), Borja (90+12'), Ruiz (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 1-2 Braga

While form has not been great in 2024 for Braga, this is an excellent opportunity for them to return to winning ways, but defensive issues may mean it will be closer than they would prefer. Famalicao took advantage to beat an underwhelming Casa Pia side last weekend and will almost certainly find it tougher here despite familiar surroundings, and may well suffer a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawBraga
37.85%24.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.33% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.020000000000003 0.02)43.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)66.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.91% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.012 0.01)56.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (0.012 0.01)23.05% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)56.87% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 37.85%
    Braga 37.58%
    Draw 24.57%
FamalicaoDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.85%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.58%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Braga

Famalicao
17.8%
Draw
13.3%
Braga
68.9%
45
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
1-2
Famalicao
Horta (9')
Borja (83'), Zalazar (83'), Djalo (90+5'), Saatci (90+8')
De Oliveira Rodrigues (67'), Aranda Subiela (90+5')
Youssouf (7'), Assuncao (73'), Junior (81'), Cadiz (88')
Feb 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Braga
4-1
Famalicao
Mihaj (22' og.), Banza (79'), Bruma (90+1', 90+3')
Sanca (71')
Aug 12, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Famalicao
0-3
Braga

Batubinsika (25'), De La Fuente (90+3'), Sa (90+5')
Sequeira (13'), Banza (18', 79')
Silva (45+1')
May 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 34
Famalicao
3-2
Braga
Banza (43', 89'), Rodrigues (80')
Pickel (12'), Pepe (38'), Banza (90')
Riccieli (90+6')
Horta (1'), Oliveira (19')
Elmusrati (12'), Carmo (35'), Tormena (59')
Carmo (90+6')
Jan 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Braga
2-2
Famalicao
Horta (13'), Gonzalez (90')
Elmusrati (9'), Oliveira (68')
Rodrigues (24')
Lima (31'), Rodrigues (81')
Pickel (48'), Banza (68'), Rodrigues (78'), Brazao (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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