Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Casa Pia |
43.96% ( 0.32) | 25.64% ( -0.05) | 30.4% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 53.79% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% ( 0.11) | 50.01% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% ( 0.09) | 71.99% ( -0.09) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( 0.2) | 22.68% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% ( 0.29) | 56.33% ( -0.29) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( -0.13) | 30.43% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( -0.16) | 66.63% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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