Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
62.18% ( 4.83) | 21.36% ( -1.52) | 16.45% ( -3.31) |
Both teams to score 50.35% ( -1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.78% ( 1.32) | 46.21% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.49% ( 1.23) | 68.5% ( -1.24) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.7% ( 2.02) | 14.29% ( -2.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.9% ( 3.8) | 42.1% ( -3.81) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.75% ( -3.06) | 41.25% ( 3.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.22% ( -2.83) | 77.78% ( 2.82) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.91) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 1.05) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.71) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.6% Total : 62.18% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.37) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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