Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Porto |
19.3% ( -0) | 23.11% | 57.59% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.26% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% ( -0) | 49.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.83% ( -0) | 71.17% ( -0) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.4% ( -0.01) | 39.59% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.72% ( -0) | 76.28% ( 0) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% ( -0) | 16.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.25% | 46.75% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6.16% 2-1 @ 5.09% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.3% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 11.86% 0-2 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 6.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.6% 2-4 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 57.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |