Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
16.08% | 21.12% | 62.8% |
Both teams to score 50.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.16% | 45.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.85% | 68.15% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.5% | 41.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22% | 78% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% | 13.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.51% | 41.49% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 5.1% 2-1 @ 4.42% 2-0 @ 2.24% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.08% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.12% | 0-1 @ 11.41% 0-2 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 6.48% 0-4 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-5 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.7% Total : 62.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |