Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
41.63% | 25.82% | 32.54% |
Both teams to score 54.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.96% | 50.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.99% | 72.01% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% | 23.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% | 57.99% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71% | 28.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.1% | 64.89% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |