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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Brighton logo

Southampton
1 - 1
Brighton

Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Southampton 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

There has not been a goalless stalemate between these two clubs for over 10 years, but it is extremely difficult to separate them on this occasion. The Saints have taken 10 points at home, while Brighton boast 10 on the road this term, and we can envisage defenders taking centre stage as both sides cancel each other out down south. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
41.06%27.68%31.26%
Both teams to score 47.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.28%57.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53%78.47%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37%27.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83%63.17%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55%70.45%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 41.05%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 31.26%
    Draw 27.68%
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Southampton vs Brighton

Southampton
47.1%
Draw
37.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
15.5%
174
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 28
Southampton
1-2
Brighton
Adams (27')
Dunk (16'), Trossard (56')
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 11
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
Jul 16, 2020 8.15pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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