Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
43.36% | 25.98% | 30.66% |
Both teams to score 52.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.67% | 51.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.85% | 73.15% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% | 23.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.41% | 57.58% |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% | 30.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% | 67.21% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3% Total : 30.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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