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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 20, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
The Hawthorns
Aston Villa logo

West Brom
0 - 3
Aston Villa


Grant (62')
Livermore (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Ghazi (5', 88' pen.), Traore (84')
Hause (40'), Mings (66')

The Match

Match Report

Anwar El Ghazi scored twice in a comfortable derby win as Jake Livermore was sent off.

Team News

The Brazilian winger completes a three-match ban.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Bromwich Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAston Villa
33.89%25.34%40.77%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.79%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.3%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94%57.06%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 33.89%
    Aston Villa 40.77%
    Draw 25.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.89%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.77%

How you voted: West Brom vs Aston Villa

West Bromwich Albion
25.3%
Draw
9.6%
Aston Villa
65.1%
146
Head to Head
May 14, 2019 8pm
Semi-Finals
West Brom
1-0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa win 4-3 on penalties
May 11, 2019 12.30pm
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Aston Villa
0-2
West Brom

Mings (31'), Hause (38'), McGinn (51')
Robson-Kanu (41'), Rodriguez (45')
Holgate (29'), Barry (43')
Dec 7, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 21
West Brom
2-2
Aston Villa
Gayle (28'), Rodriguez (90')
Livermore (61'), Hegazy (63')
El Ghazi (12', 59')
Whelan (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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