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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Wales national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Millennium Stadium
Belgium national football team

Wales
1 - 1
Belgium

Johnson (86')
Rodon (55'), Norrington-Davies (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tielemans (51')
Carrasco (45+1'), Theate (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Wales and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Belgium

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Wales 1-2 Belgium

 With Wales likely to go as full-strength as possible, they should have enough quality to push their stronger opponents all of the way. However, this game could go a similar way to the one against the Netherlands, with Belgium potentially edging the contest in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wales had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Wales win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
WalesDrawBelgium
26.66% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 26.76% (0.023 0.02) 46.59% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)56.3% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.67% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)77.34% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)36.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.035999999999998 0.04)73.4% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)24.15% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)58.47% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Wales 26.66%
    Belgium 46.59%
    Draw 26.75%
WalesDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.66%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 12.56%
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.93% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.59%

How you voted: Wales vs Belgium

Wales
16.0%
Draw
13.5%
Belgium
70.5%
200
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Group E
Wales
1-1
Belgium
Moore (32')
Morrell (34'), Moore (80')
De Bruyne (12')
Hazard (71'), Saelemaekers (75'), Dendoncker (82')
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
Group E
Belgium
3-1
Wales
De Bruyne (22'), Hazard (28'), Lukaku (73' pen.)
Hazard (75')
Wilson (10')
Jul 1, 2016 8pm
Wales
3-1
Belgium
Williams (31'), Robson-Kanu (55'), Vokes (86')
Davies (5'), Chester (16'), Gunter (24'), Ramsey (75')
Nainggolan (13')
Fellaini (59'), Alderweireld (85')
> Match Report
Jun 12, 2015 7.45pm
Group B
Wales
1-0
Belgium
> Match Report
Nov 16, 2014 5pm
Group B
Belgium
0-0
Wales
> Match Report
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