Nations League | League B
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
We said: Sweden 2-1 Slovenia
Though they may struggle to keep a clean sheet, having conceded at a rate of two goals per game in their last five matches, Sweden can snatch League B survival on the final day. If some talented forwards can click, then the hosts will edge out a Slovenia side lacking two top players through suspension.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Sweden | Draw | Slovenia |
46.16% ( 0.2) | 23.95% ( 0.04) | 29.89% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.29) |
| 57.2% ( -0.31) | 42.8% ( 0.32) |
| 34.8% ( -0.31) | 65.2% ( 0.32) |
| 81.26% ( -0.04) | 18.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.88% ( -0.07) | 50.12% ( 0.08) |
| 72.86% ( -0.31) | 27.14% ( 0.32) |
